X-Virus-Scanned: clean according to Sophos on Logan.com Return-Path: Sender: To: lml@lancaironline.net Date: Mon, 05 May 2014 07:11:47 -0400 Message-ID: X-Original-Return-Path: Received: from mail-pd0-f181.google.com ([209.85.192.181] verified) by logan.com (CommuniGate Pro SMTP 6.0.9e) with ESMTPS id 6856830 for lml@lancaironline.net; Fri, 02 May 2014 21:25:08 -0400 Received-SPF: pass receiver=logan.com; client-ip=209.85.192.181; envelope-from=frederickemoreno@gmail.com Received: by mail-pd0-f181.google.com with SMTP id w10so4106677pde.12 for ; Fri, 02 May 2014 18:24:34 -0700 (PDT) X-Received: by 10.66.66.66 with SMTP id d2mr41219523pat.36.1399080273992; Fri, 02 May 2014 18:24:33 -0700 (PDT) X-Original-Return-Path: Received: from User-PC (CPE-121-221-11-248.lns1.wel.bigpond.net.au. [121.221.11.248]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPSA id qh2sm4903645pab.13.2014.05.02.18.24.31 for (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-SHA bits=128/128); Fri, 02 May 2014 18:24:33 -0700 (PDT) MIME-Version: 1.0 X-Original-Message-Id: <5364454A.0000AA.04888@USER-PC> X-Original-Date: Sat, 3 May 2014 09:24:27 +0800 Content-Type: Multipart/related; charset="iso-8859-1"; type="multipart/alternative"; boundary="------------Boundary-00=_Q85Z9EHAMY5000000000" X-Mailer: IncrediMail (6605288) From: "frederickemoreno@gmail.com" X-FID: FLAVOR00-NONE-0000-0000-000000000000 X-Priority: 3 X-Original-To: "Lancair Mail (lml@lancaironline.net)" Subject: Legacy White Paper - "Just the facts please." --------------Boundary-00=_Q85Z9EHAMY5000000000 Content-Type: Multipart/Alternative; boundary="------------Boundary-00=_Q85Z4OLBH89000000000" --------------Boundary-00=_Q85Z4OLBH89000000000 Content-Type: Text/Plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable As Jack Webb said in Dragnet again and again: "Just the facts please."=0D =0D John Smith did an analysis of the canopy accident record and found: =0D "The figure I derived from historical data is actually around "3 in 100,0= 00 take-offs." =0D If you shift the zeros around this is 30 per million take offs. =0D The general standard for a single point failure leading to accident is generally accepted as 1 per million. =0D With the actual incidence being 30 times greater than the standard, the evidence shouts for corrective action. A warning light is the WEAKEST fix= =2E=20 We can do better. We should.=0D Facts are such stubborn things. =0D Fred Moreno --------------Boundary-00=_Q85Z4OLBH89000000000 Content-Type: Text/HTML; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

As Jack Webb said in Dragnet again and again: "Just the facts please= =2E"

John Smith did an analysis of the canopy accident record and found:&= nbsp;

"The figure I derived from historical data is actually = around "3 in 100,000 take-offs."

If you shift the zeros around this is 30 per million ta= ke offs.

The general standard for a single point failure leading= to accident is generally accepted as 1 per million.

With the actual incidence being 30 times greater t= han the standard, the evidence shouts for corrective action. A warning li= ght is the WEAKEST fix. We can do better. We should.

Facts are such stubborn things.

Fred Moreno

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