X-Virus-Scanned: clean according to Sophos on Logan.com Return-Path: Sender: To: lml@lancaironline.net Date: Fri, 20 Jan 2012 12:42:12 -0500 Message-ID: X-Original-Return-Path: Received: from mail-ey0-f180.google.com ([209.85.215.180] verified) by logan.com (CommuniGate Pro SMTP 5.4.3) with ESMTPS id 5357727 for lml@lancaironline.net; Fri, 20 Jan 2012 10:00:09 -0500 Received-SPF: pass receiver=logan.com; client-ip=209.85.215.180; envelope-from=dave.saylor.aircrafters@gmail.com Received: by eaac1 with SMTP id c1so201467eaa.25 for ; Fri, 20 Jan 2012 06:59:32 -0800 (PST) Received: by 10.213.22.8 with SMTP id l8mr487740ebb.37.1327071572338; Fri, 20 Jan 2012 06:59:32 -0800 (PST) MIME-Version: 1.0 Received: by 10.14.96.78 with HTTP; Fri, 20 Jan 2012 06:58:51 -0800 (PST) In-Reply-To: References: From: Dave Saylor X-Original-Date: Fri, 20 Jan 2012 06:58:51 -0800 X-Original-Message-ID: Subject: Re: [LML] Re: Steam Gauge Backup X-Original-To: Lancair Mailing List Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8 Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Andres, I've had your melted lens on display in my office for a while now. Let me know if you'd like it back. It's a great conversation piece! Dave Saylor AirCrafters 140 Aviation Way Watsonville, CA 95076 831-722-9141 Shop 831-750-0284 Cell On Fri, Jan 20, 2012 at 6:42 AM, Andres Katz wrote: > I have been struck while flying twice, once it melted the lens on the iv-= p > and blew open the wing extension, the second time in a 737 landing in dfw= , > Once in a million? I guess I am unlucky > > Sent from my iPad > > On Jan 20, 2012, at 7:06 AM, Gary Casey wrote: > > Just a quick comment on the redundancy issue. =C2=A0I read the comment th= at a > vacuum system is not a good candidate for a back-up because of the known > poor durability of most vacuum pumps. =C2=A0But that doesn't by itself re= duce > reliability. =C2=A0What happens if one has two electronic systems and bot= h get > disabled by a lightning strike? =C2=A0Say there is a one in a million cha= nce of > getting struck by lightning and there is a 1 in 2 chance that both system= s > will be disabled. =C2=A0That says that there is a 1 in 2 million chance t= hat you > will have a really bad rest-of-the-day. =C2=A0Now put in a vacuum system = that > will absolutely not fail as a result of a lightning strike. =C2=A0There i= s, say, > a MBTF of 500 hours for the vacuum pump(I think it is more like 1,000 > hours). =C2=A0It will take maybe 30 minutes to get on the ground after th= e > lightning strike takes out all the electronics. =C2=A0What is the odds of= the > vacuum system failing in that 30 minutes? =C2=A0Presumably 1 in 1,000. = =C2=A0So the > odds of the electronic system failing AND the vacuum system failing in th= e > next 30 minutes is 1 in a million times 1 in a thousand, or 1 in a billio= n. > =C2=A0You only need the vacuum system to keep working for the time it tak= es you > to get to the ground. > > So the all-electronic system will have a 1 in 2 million chances of killin= g > you, while the combination of an electronic primary and the not-as-reliab= le > vacuum system has a 1 in a billion chance of killing you. =C2=A0500 times= better > than the all-electronic system. > > That's why I have an engine-driven vacuum pump and a vacuum AI in mine, > along with the electronic EFIS. > Gary Casey