Mailing List lml@lancaironline.net Message #45507
From: Colyn Case on earthlink <colyncase@earthlink.net>
Sender: <marv@lancaironline.net>
Subject: Re: [LML] Imagination
Date: Thu, 27 Dec 2007 09:12:48 -0500
To: <lml@lancaironline.net>
"Calm down, boys"
 
I think you are right that where you want to live on the risk/reward continuum is a personal decision.
 
But I don't think you should confuse that issue with the facts about electronic failure modes.    Brent and Hamid, who have tried very hard to eliminate them, are saying there are some failure modes, which have significant probability, against which you cannot at reasonable cost protect an efis.   Adding a  third one or a redundant supply doesn't particularly help the situation.  
 
Adding a system which doesn't have that particular failure mode completely changes the probability numbers.  
 
If you are content not to change the numbers in your favor, that IS a personal decision. 
 
On the other hand, to hold that an all electronic system has as favorable probability numbers as electronic plus mechanical backup is not a matter of personal comfort level.  It's just not a correct statement of the facts.
 
 
 

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